When it comes to winning the job on
dividing and conquering Republicans, liberals must laugh till they sleep:
That
2014 has been the year that the establishment struck back — preparing
and financing its candidates with a new determination and focus — is
evident in its success.
That
may prove to have been the easy part. Republicans on both sides of the
internal divide are now looking at the impact the primary season will
have on politics and governance as the party seeks to build on its House
majority and take control of the Senate this year and win back the
White House in 2016.
Emboldened
by their success, establishment Republicans are using tough language
about the party’s more conservative groups. They are suggesting that the
federal government shutdown last fall — led by hard-liners like Senator
Ted Cruz of Texas — and this year’s primary results have staggered the
organizations claiming the Tea Party mantle.
“This
is a bunch of out-of-state political gunslingers who have crowned
themselves as the leaders of Tea Party Republicanism and are raising
money in the name of a more conservative party and spending it all
attacking Republicans,” former Gov. Haley Barbour of Mississippi said in
an interview at the meeting here.
“If
in 2016 we don’t have these people raising millions of Republican
dollars and using it to attack Republicans, then we’ll be stronger
against the Democrats for president and for keeping the House and for
hopefully keeping the Senate,” said Mr. Barbour, who was one of the few
speakers at the meeting to urge party unity.
The
most significant effect of the party turnabout could take place well
before 2016, though. If Republicans now in office conclude that Tea
Party pressure is no longer a political threat, they may be more willing
to face down the right on issues like an overhaul of immigration laws.
“If
the threats are toothless, then the scorecards are meaningless,” said
Mr. Barbour, referring to the closely watched voter guides issued by
many conservative groups.
Scott
Reed, a political strategist for the newly aggressive U.S. Chamber of
Commerce, said that such ratings now amount to “hollow threats” and that
the success of the party’s mainstream wing would give Speaker John A.
Boehner of Ohio some room to maneuver in the House.
“If
Speaker Boehner increases his margins, he’ll have a more manageable
caucus, and governing will be back front and center,” Mr. Reed said.